Latest remarks from BOM regarding TC Pancho
Pancho intensified from yesterday afternoon developing an eye well evident on microwave and IR satellite imagery. The system appears to have peaked overnight with some expansion of the eye evident on recent microwave imagery.
While the system has enjoyed favourable environmental conditions of low shear and good upper level outflow in the last 24 hours this is set to change markedly in the next 12 to 24 hours.
Increasing shear and cooler sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are likely to weaken the system as it continues to move south.

The range of model guidance favour a south to southeasterly track in the next 24/36 hours and then move to the south southwest and become extra-tropical, influenced by an amplifying upper level low to the southwest.